The 30-Day Public Record Challenge
A small group of traders publishes calls for thirty days under one disclosed methodology, with every outcome — good and bad — permanently visible. At the end we publish exactly what they predicted and exactly what happened.
The interesting story is not who won. It is what a complete, unedited month of forecasting from a real group of traders actually looks like: how often first targets were reached, how much the results varied across holding periods, how stable the ordering was week to week, and whether stated conviction predicted anything at all. Those are questions almost nobody can answer with real data, because almost nobody keeps the losses.
Rules
Short, and deliberately hostile to gaming.
- 1.Every call is published before the move it predicts. No back-dating exists — the platform stamps the time.
- 2.All participants are graded under the same published methodology, on the same data, with the same gap and ambiguity rules.
- 3.Every call stays visible for the whole challenge and afterwards. Nothing can be hidden or deleted.
- 4.A minimum number of active days, not a minimum number of calls. Posting more often is never an advantage.
- 5.No ranking on win rate alone. Win rate without mean R and a sample size is the most misleading number in trading.
- 6.No cash prizes in the first run. Money attracts people optimising for the leaderboard rather than for an honest record.
Live snapshot
Participating creators, last 30 days, minimum five graded calls. Ordered by mean R, with the worst call beside it.
No challenge is running yet
The first cohort has not started. When it does, this table fills in automatically from real graded calls — there is nothing here to curate.
Join the first cohortHow to take part
If you already publish setups
You are the intended participant. Publish the calls you were going to make anyway, share the permalinks wherever you already post, and let your audience watch the outcomes land. You keep your audience; we keep the receipts.
How it works for creatorsIf you run a trading community
A cohort of your members can run the challenge together and get a shared page once there is real activity behind it. We do not generate a landing page for a community that has not posted anything — a thin page helps nobody.
Get in touchWhat we will publish at the end
A full write-up with the methodology, the denominators, the window, the exclusions and the limitations stated plainly — including any finding that makes the platform or its participants look worse than expected. A dataset this size can support an interesting description of what happened. It cannot support a broad predictive claim, and we will not make one.