Posted by jclark_trade · 2026-09-14 11:28:01 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this BTC short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
BTC's retest of 77868.44, a prior resistance, on waning volume signals a potential liquidity sweep, inviting a short with invalidation at 78500.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
BTC short at $42.5K critical today as it's a key support retest with high volume, invalidates on break above $43.5K.
Market context
What was true around BTC when this call was published.
There were no other open BTC calls when this was published.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 10 graded BTC calls on TradeDiscuss from 9 traders, 30% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.29R.
Discussion (2)
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Great call on the short entry, but could you clarify your invalidation level for better risk management?
Great entry, but could you clarify your invalidation point for a more complete setup?
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