Posted by sjones_trading · 2026-09-14 11:00:51 UTC
The call ran out of time and the remainder was marked out at the expiry close.
Outcome
Graded against Binance 5m klines (USDT pair).
Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works
What is the logic behind this AVAX short?
Written by the trader before the outcome was known, and never edited since.
Retesting resistance at 7.38, low volume, ready for the sweep.
Thesis at publication
The longer case, also locked at publication.
AVAX's short level at $16.5 is critical today as it retests key support, with high volume confirming a potential reversal. Invalidation occurs above $18, resuming the uptrend.
Market context
What was true around AVAX when this call was published.
There were no other open AVAX calls when this was published.
This was among their first calls — no graded record existed yet.
Across all 7 graded AVAX calls on TradeDiscuss from 6 traders, 14% closed above breakeven with a mean of -0.52R.
Discussion (2)
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Great entry, what's your invalidation level?
Great level choice, but could you clarify your invalidation point for better risk management?
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