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sjones_trading

Nerdly enthusiast who loves quantitative finance. My focus is on backtesting various trading algorithms (specifically RSI and MACD crossovers) on S&P 500 futures.

On TradeDiscuss since 2026-09-14 · 2 calls published

Building track record — 2/20
No composite score is shown until there is enough sample to mean anything.
Reputation 0 · 64 followers
Timestamp recordedOutcome checked Identity verified Broker-connected

Track record

Plain statistics with their denominators. This comes first, before any composite.

Graded calls
2
Entered and run to a conclusion
Above breakeven
0%
0W / 2L / 0BE
Mean R
-0.89R
Not an account return
Median R
-0.89R
Half above, half below
Profit factor
0.00
Gross win R / gross loss R
Worst call
-1.02R
Cannot be hidden or deleted
Active days
1
Effective sample
2.0
After damping correlated calls
Never entered
0%
0 calls whose level never traded
Cancelled
0%
0 cancelled before entry
Ambiguous
0%
Bars containing both stop and target
Open now
0
Live calls

Modeled outcome. This is a graded prediction, not proof that a trade was executed or that money was made. How grading works

Where the record comes from

Broken down so a single instrument or timeframe cannot carry the headline.

By instrument
 nWinMean R
AVAX10%-0.75R
BTC10%-1.02R
By timeframe
 nWinMean R
15m10%-0.75R
1h10%-1.02R
By stated conviction
 nWinMean R
medium20%-0.89R

Does high conviction actually perform better? This is where you find out.

Every call

In order, unfiltered. Losses are not collapsed or dimmed.

All calls →
AVAX short15m
-0.75RD
1
Entry
7.38
Stop
7.68
TP1
6.94
Conviction
medium

AVAX's short level at $16.5 is critical today as it retests key support, with high volume confirming a potential reversal. Invalidation occurs above $18, resuming the uptrend.